New York's deep-red 27th District is swinging slightly more Democratic now that incumbent Rep. Chris Collins (R-N.Y.) is facing criminal charges. Collins is remaining on the November ballot for re-election despite his Wednesday arrest; the lawmaker pleaded not guilty to charges of insider trading, wire fraud, and making false statements to the FBI after an investigation into his investments in an Australian biotech company. After the news, NY-27 went from a "solid" Republican rating to "likely" on the Cook Political Report. Democratic candidate Nate McMurray quickly began raising more money following the news of Collins' arrest, and despite the district's conservative voter base, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee now says "this seat is firmly in play for Democrats."

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