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race to the Oscars
December 12, 2018

A Star Is Born and Black Panther seem poised to clean up in awards season.

The Screen Actors Guild awards nominations were released Wednesday, and in the top category of Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture, the nominees are A Star Is Born, Black Panther, BlacKkKlansman, Bohemian Rhapsody, and Crazy Rich Asians. History suggests that one of these films will win Best Picture at the Oscars, as it's rare for a movie to do so without first being nominated in this category. (Last year, however, The Shape of Water broke from that tradition by taking Best Picture after a SAG snub.) Roma, a Best Picture frontrunner, was not nominated, nor were other Best Picture hopefuls like Green Book, Vice, and If Beale Street Could Talk.

A Star Is Born earned four nominations, the most of any film, while Black Panther picked up a key nod after previously being recognized at the Golden Globe Awards and the Critics Choice Awards.

Meanwhile, the lead actor nominees are Christian Bale (Vice), Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born), Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody), Viggo Mortensen (Green Book), and John David Washington (BlacKkKlansman), while the lead actress nominees are Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns), Glenn Close (The Wife), Olivia Colman (The Favourite), Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born), and Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?).

Emily Blunt got a second nomination in the best supporting actress category for A Quiet Place, with her fellow nominees being Amy Adams (Vice), Margot Robbie (Mary Queen of Scots), Emma Stone (The Favourite), and Rachel Weisz (The Favourite).

In the television field, The Americans, Better Call Saul, The Handmaid's Tale, Ozark, and This Is Us were nominated in the top drama series category, while Atlanta, Barry, GLOW, The Kominsky Method, and The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel were nominated in the top comedy series category.

The 25th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards will take place on Jan. 27. Read the full list of nominees at Variety. Brendan Morrow

December 10, 2018

Yet another batch of awards nominees brings the Oscars' likely Best Picture list into even greater focus.

The 2019 Critics Choice Awards nominees, which are selected by the Broadcast Film Critics Association, were announced Monday morning. The group's Best Picture picks are Black Panther, BlacKkKlansman, The Favourite, First Man, Green Book, If Beale Street Could Talk, Mary Poppins Returns, Roma, A Star Is Born, and Vice, per The Hollywood Reporter.

Based on how the awards season has been shaking out, don't be surprised if the Oscars' nominees for Best Picture are essentially this exact list; every one of the films here was nominated at the Golden Globes last week except for First Man. Since 2000, the Oscars' eventual Best Picture winner has been nominated at the Critics Choice Awards every single year, and the two groups often pick the same film.

The category of Best Actor consists of Christian Bale (Vice), Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born), Willem Dafoe (At Eternity’s Gate), Ryan Gosling (First Man), Ethan Hawke (First Reformed), Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody), and Viggo Mortensen (Green Book), while the Best Actress nominees are Yalitza Aparicio (Roma), Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns), Glenn Close (The Wife), Toni Collette (Hereditary), Olivia Colman (The Favourite), Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born), and Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?).

The Favourite received the most nominations: 14, while the second most nominated film was Black Panther with 12. First Man also received 10 nominations after being mostly shut out at the Golden Globes. Read the full list of nominees at The Hollywood Reporter. Brendan Morrow

December 6, 2018

Now that the Golden Globe nominations have arrived, certain films' Oscar hopes are looking better than ever, while others seem all but dead.

The Hollywood Foreign Press Association's picks for Best Picture don't always line up with the Academy's. But it's almost always the case that the eventual Oscar winner for Best Picture is nominated in one of the two top categories at the Golden Globes in January. Since 2000, that has been true every year except one: 2006, when Crash won Best Picture despite not being nominated at the Globes.

With that in mind, it looks like First Man may have to kiss its Best Picture hopes goodbye, as Damien Chazelle's Neil Armstrong biopic was shut out of the Best Picture - Drama category after bombing at the box office in October. That's also true of Widows, another box office bomb that didn't receive a single Globe nomination.

Sasha Stone from Awards Daily points out that the Golden Globes' director field is often indicative of the Oscars' Best Picture category, with The Shape of Water's Guillermo del Toro earning that prize in 2018. The films nominated for best director this year are A Star Is Born, Roma, Green Book, BlacKkKlansman, and Vice. Notably, First Man and Widows didn't make it into this category, nor did Green Book, despite earning five nominations total.

Meanwhile, the producers behind Black Panther and Vice should be feeling a lot better about their Oscar chances. The former film picked up a Best Picture - Drama nomination amid widespread speculation that it will be the first Marvel film to make it into the equivalent category at the Oscars, while the Dick Cheney biopic picked up six nominations, giving it some serious momentum as the race to the Oscars continues. Brendan Morrow

December 6, 2018

The nominees for the 2019 Golden Globe Awards have arrived.

In the top category of Best Picture - Drama, the nominees this year are Black Panther, BlacKkKlansman, Bohemian Rhapsody, If Beale Street Could Talk, and A Star Is Born. Meanwhile, in the category of Best Picture - Musical or Comedy, the nominees are Crazy Rich Asians, The Favourite, Green Book, Mary Poppins Returns, and Vice.

Overall, the Dick Cheney biopic Vice received six nominations, the most of any film, with a supporting actor nomination for Sam Rockwell, a supporting actress nomination for Amy Adams, a lead actor nomination for Christian Bale, and director and screenplay nomination for Adam McKay. A Star Is Born picked up five nominations, including a lead actress nomination for Lady Gaga, lead actor and directing nominations for Bradley Cooper, and a best original song nomination for "Shallow."

The Favourite and Green Book also earned five nominations each, as Olivia Colman, Emma Stone, and Rachel Weisz were recognized for their performances in the former film and Mahershala Ali and Viggo Mortensen recognized for their performances in the latter.

The Americans, Bodyguard, Homecoming, Killing Eve, and Pose received nominees for Best Television Series - Drama, while Barry, The Good Place, Kidding, The Kominsky Method, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel were nominated for Best Television Series - Musical or Comedy.

Some of the notable snubs this year include Atlanta being shut out of Best Television Series — Musical or Comedy and Widows receiving zero nominations. There were plenty of pleasant and unexpected surprises, though, including The Good Place picking up two nominations after being shut out last year, and Elsie Fisher being nominated for Eighth Grade. And because it was the Golden Globes, there were, of course, some downright bizarre choices, including Bohemian Rhapsody being nominated for Best Picture.

Read the full list of nominees at The Hollywood Reporter. Brendan Morrow

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