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June 20, 2017
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Most Republicans are on President Trump's side, a new CBS poll finds, in the public debate and federal investigation over whether Trump or people close to him colluded with Russia to meddle in the 2016 election. A majority of GOP respondents indicated they believe Trump's word over that of fired FBI Director James Comey and think the president is handling the Russia issue well.

That support is what makes their opposition to Trump's rumored interest in firing Special Counsel Robert Mueller, who is heading the investigation, so striking: Fully 75 percent of Republicans — barely below the national average of 81 percent — say Trump should not fire Mueller.

Trump has reportedly received the same wise counsel from White House aides who understand the terrible optics of firing a man selected to be an impartial investigator of your own behavior. Read The Week's Simon Maloy here on why those optics may not be enough to stay Trump's hand. Bonnie Kristian

June 12, 2017
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"Certainly, misogyny played a role," Hillary Clinton said in April of her election loss. "I mean, that just has to be admitted. And why and what the underlying reasons were is what I'm trying to parse out myself."

This is a point Clinton has made more than once in recent months, but new analysis published at The Washington Post today suggests voters' attitudes about women may not have affected the election the way she thinks. The report is based on survey data from this past fall in which respondents were asked six questions to gauge their assumptions about women's roles and status in American society — questions about topics like employment, motherhood, and equality.

Participants' answers were used to determine whether they hold progressive or traditionalist views on women. Though men leaned more traditional, progressive views were by far more common, and they strongly corresponded with votes for Clinton. In one sense, the Post report concludes, "Hillary Clinton is correct" because if "fewer voters had held traditionalist attitudes toward women’s roles and statuses, Clinton’s national popular vote total (already a plurality) would have increased." In certain swing states, less traditionalism could have given us a different winner on Election Day.

But in another sense, Clinton's remarks are misleading, because the traditionalists were in the clear minority. In other words, the Post explains, Clinton "had more votes to 'gain' from people with progressive attitudes than she had votes to 'lose' from those with traditionalist views." Bonnie Kristian

May 25, 2017
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President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence are more unpopular with voters than ever, new poll results released by Fox News reveal. A majority of voters — 53 percent — do not approve of the job Trump is doing, and 43 percent say the same of Pence.

Trump's approval rate is at 40 percent and Pence's at 42 percent, suggesting the veep's milder disapproval numbers are more about voter ignorance or uncertainty than comparative enthusiasm for his performance. Last month, an earlier Fox poll put Trump and Pence's approval ratings at 45 and 50 percent, respectively.

Thursday's poll also found issues of federal spending, infrastructure, North Korea, and the fight against the Islamic State topped voters' list of concerns. On the subject of Trump's fabled border wall, 64 percent of Trump voters believe the president will follow through with his promise, while only 36 percent of all voters say the same. Bonnie Kristian

May 19, 2017
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President Trump's approval rating just hit a new low, a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Friday found. Just 38 percent of adults approve of Trump's performance while a whopping 56 percent disapprove, the lowest mark for the president since his inauguration. Roughly 6 percent of respondents said they had "mixed feelings."

The last two weeks have been tumultuous for Trump, starting with his abrupt dismissal of former FBI Director James Comey on May 9 and the White House's subsequent struggle to offer a consistent explanation for the firing. This week, a steady flow of leaks has upended Washington: On Monday, it was reported Trump shared highly classified intelligence information, gathered by Israel, with Russian officials during a meeting in the Oval Office last week; on Tuesday, the existence of memos written by Comey detailing his interactions with Trump, including when the president asked him to halt the investigation into Russia-linked former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn, was revealed; on Wednesday, Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein announced the appointment of former FBI Director Robert Mueller as special counsel to head the Russia investigation; and on Thursday, it was reported Trump asked Comey when the FBI would be stating publicly that Trump himself was not under investigation for potential ties to Russia.

The Reuters poll was conducted May 14-18 among 1,971 adults, including 795 Democrats and 721 Republicans. It has a margin of error of 3 percentage points. On Friday, after the poll closed, The New York Times reported Trump bragged about firing Comey in his Oval Office meeting with the Russian officials, calling Comey a "nut job" and saying dismissing him had "taken off" the "great pressure" from the Russia investigation. The Washington Post reported, nearly simultaneously, that the investigation of potential collusion with Russia is closing in on a current White House official who is "close to the president," and that the "intensity of the probe is expected to accelerate."

See the full results of the Reuters/Ipsos poll — including Trump's struggles in the last month — here. Kimberly Alters

April 23, 2017
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President Trump continues to have record-low approval ratings with the general public, but he is maintaining his core base of supporters, finds a Washington Post/ABC News poll released Sunday in advance of the 100-day mark of Trump's presidency on April 29. Just 42 percent of Americans approve of the job Trump is doing so far, compared to an average of 69 percent approval for past presidents around the same time in their administrations.

A majority of respondents said Trump does not understand their problems, is not trustworthy, has yet to score a major accomplishment as president, and is not guided by a clear set of principles. However, more Americans say Democrats are out of step with the public than feel the same about the GOP, and 96 percent of Trump voters said they would back him again today. Bonnie Kristian

April 17, 2017
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It seems Americans are losing faith in President Trump. A new Gallup poll released Monday shows less than half of Americans believe their commander in chief keeps his promises — a sharp decline from the nearly two-thirds who believed in Trump in February.

Just 45 percent of respondents in Monday's poll said they believe President Trump keeps his promises, down from 62 percent two months ago. In that time, Trump has evinced several changes of heart in key policies, reversing his rhetoric on NATO, China as a currency manipulator, the Export-Import Bank, and more. He has also launched an airstrike on Syria after years spent urging former President Barack Obama not to intervene in the country's civil war and dropped America's largest non-nuclear weapon in Afghanistan despite touting an "America first" foreign policy.

The Gallup poll surveyed 1,019 adults over the phone from April 5 to 9. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. See the poll's full results here. Kimberly Alters

April 4, 2017
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A new Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday shows a majority of American voters are embarrassed to have President Trump leading the nation. Fifty-two percent of voters said they were embarrassed of Trump, including 85 percent of Democrats. Just 27 percent of voters said they were proud to have Trump as president.

The poll also found Trump losing ground with key segments of his supporter base, including men and white voters. Fifty-one percent of men disapproved of Trump, while 39 percent approved, and 48 percent of white voters disapproved with just 43 percent approving. Overall, Trump's net approval rating is -22 percent, with 35 percent of voters approving of his job as president and 57 percent disapproving.

Trump's Republican counterparts in Congress didn't fare much better, with 70 percent of voters saying they disapproved of the GOP's job performance on Capitol Hill, including 41 percent of Republican voters. Fifty-seven percent of voters disapproved of Democrats' work in Congress.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,171 voters across the U.S. over the phone from March 30-April 3. The poll has a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points. See the full results here. Kimberly Alters

March 31, 2017

Americans are happy to engage in a productive dialogue with people who think differently than they do, Pew Research finds, if they live in areas where their political perspective is the strong majority.

Republicans who live in counties where President Trump won easily were about 20 percent more likely than those in blue counties to say it is good to address political differences to try to find common ground. For Democrats living in Clinton counties, the same was true.


(Pew)

For partisans living in hostile territory, conversation feels risky. Republicans and Democrats alike living in counties where the opposite party's candidate made a strong win were more likely to say it is wise to avoid discussing political differences, because that will only make things worse. Bonnie Kristian

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